Sunday, February 20, 2011

ZiPS Projections 2011 Newcomers

And when I say newcomers, I also mean guys who have had cups of coffee.

Ben Guez - 443 ABs, .230/.291/.372 for an OPS of .663, 11 HRs, 24 doubles, 3 triples, 50 RBIs, 53 runs scored, 29 BBs, 12 SBs, 10 CS, 75 OPS+

Ryan Kalish - 570 ABs, .261/.328/.407 for an OPS of .735, 14 HRs, 33 doubles, 4 triples, 68 RBIs, 77 runs scored, 55 BBs, 24 SBs, 5 CS, 91 OPS+

Jason Kipnis - 449 ABs, .261/.323/.388 for an OPS of .711, 8 HRs, 23 doubles, 5 triples, 56 RBIs, 67 runs scored, 35 BBs, 5 SBs, 5 CS, 94 OPS+

David Kopp - 5-9, 5.54 ERA, 1.71 WHIP, 100 2/3 innings, 10.8 H/9, 0.9 HR/9, 4.6 BB/9, 4.4 K/9, 72 ERA+

Ryan Lavarnway - 521 ABs: .242/.320/.392 for an OPS of .712, 15 HRs, 33 doubles, 78 RBIs, 63 runs scored, 53 BBs, 85 OPS+

Aaron Poreda - 2-3, 5.53 ERA, 2.12 WHIP, 57 innings, 7.7 H/9, 0.8 HR/9, 11.3 BB/9, 8.1 K/9, 68 ERA+

James Rapoport - 496 ABs, .250/.314/.317 for an OPS of .631, 2 HRs, 15 doubles, 6 triples, 42 RBIs, 64 runs scored, 45 BBs, 13 SBs, 6 CS, 71 OPS+

Michael Schwimer - 5-4, 4.12 ERA, 1.43 WHIP, 54 2/3 innings, 8.4 H/9, 0.9 HR/9, 4.4 BB/9, 8.9 K/9, 102 ERA+

Adam Stern - 319 ABs, .254/.305/.342 for an OPS of .647, 3 HRs, 13 doubles, 3 triples, 23 RBIs, 40 runs scored, 23 BBs, 10 SBs, 5 CS, 74 OPS+

Disclaimer: ZiPS projections are computer-based projections of performance. Performances have not been allocated to predicted playing time in the majors - many of the players listed above are unlikely to play in the majors at all in 2011. ZiPS is projecting equivalent production - a .240 ZiPS projection may end up being .280 in AAA or .300 in AA, for example. Whether or not a player will play is one of many non-statistical factors one has to take into account when predicting the future.

2 comments:

William Tasker - Caribou, ME said...

Whoa! That's a lot of walks for Mr. Poreda!

Josh Borenstein said...

Yeah, it's an obscene amount of walks. But that's how his stats in AA and AAA translated. His 2010 BB/9 was 10.7. Right now, Poreda makes Carlos Marmol look like Greg Maddux.